Barry Rubin-Il triste destino degli arabi moderati 25/11/2009 Jerusalem Post, November 15, 2009

THE SAD FATE OF ARAB MODERATES Barry Rubin Jerusalem Post, November 15, 2009 You have to feel sorry for those courageous enough to be Arab moderates. Most of  their countrymen hate them, the government wants to crush them, the Islamists want to kill them and the West doesn't want to help them. I told this story in my book, The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East. Despite endless talk of finding moderates in the Arab world, the real ones -- few and far between -- generally get ignored while preening, posturing extremists are treated as romantic figures. So given all this pressure, the limited space permitted for free thought, the moderates have to talk like radicals to survive. In political terms, faced with the battle  between the two giant movements of Islamism and Arab nationalism, they have to choose sides. Most liberals back their governments, even though they are repressive dictatorships, as the lesser of two evils to living under an Iran-, Gaza- or Taliban-type state. Except for some in Egypt, almost all the liberals pick the nationalists over the Islamists.... [Hala] Mustafa...is the editor of Egypt's state-controlled democracy journal Al-Demoqratiya who got in trouble because she actually spoke with Israel's ambassador for a few minutes in her office. The television interviewer asked her if that brief chat constituted "normalization" of relations with Israel. This is a real no-no, despite the fact that Egypt and Israel have been at peace for 30 years (happy anniversary!).... But the only line Mustafa can take -- whether she believes it or not is another matter -- is that the main reason Egypt must reform itself is to defeat Israel more effectively. She begins by saying (MEMRI translation): "As long as we are part of the international community, and as long as we strive  to belong to the developed countries, we need to speak their language... Perhaps the reason that Israel was able to gain ground overseas, and that there is more recognition of Israel, its path and its culture than of Arab culture, is that Israel speaks of the language of the international community..." Interviewer: "They are better integrated in the international system?" Mustafa: "Absolutely. They speak the same language, and know how to talk to them and convince them." Interviewer: "They are more skillful in obtaining their material, political or moral support." Mustafa: "Definitely. Their greatest success is in portraying the other side -- the Arabs -- as extremists, who carry weapons, shout and make hysterical decisions. This image has become a stereotype, just like after 9/11, when the Muslims' image became stereotypical and negative." Now I am definitely not attacking Mustafa here but merely pointing out the almost incredibly small maneuvering room such people have. The usual response by mainstream Arab thinkers has been: You want us to talk or act like people in the West? That  is a betrayal! We will not surrender an inch. Etc., etc. Read a speech, for example, by Syrian President Bashar Assad or by many Arab nationalist intellectuals, as well as of course by Islamists, to hear this kind of thing. And yet both they and Mustafa are missing a rather obvious and important point. The liberals tell both the regimes and the masses: You will never succeed in winning your battles or gaining international support without democracy and moderation. But the regimes and radicals have done precisely that, at least in the short run, by learning to speak the language of the modern international community. As a result, they are doing better -- contrary to what Mustafa warned -- in those battles than Israel. Old style (which most Islamists still use, though even them not all the time): The Jews are inferior. We will kill them all. We will never accept peace. We will wipe out Israel. New style: The Israelis say that we are inferior. They want to kill us all. They  don't want peace. They violate our human rights. We are the victims. They want to wipe us out. And by this brilliant inversion, everything has changed. Leftist movements, humanitarian-oriented groups, huge sections of academia, large parts of the media and various European  governments bash Israel and extol the poor victims of the war criminal, racist,  war-mongering, intransigent Israelis.... In short, Arab governments and societies don't need Mustafa and the other liberals to bring a compromise triumph through  real moderation. The extremists "know how to talk to them [the West and the world] and convince them." And, to use the interviewers words: "They [the radicals, not  the moderates] are more skillful in obtaining [the West's] material, political,  or moral support."... What a remarkable but horrible irony. The "progressive" and "humanitarian" forces of the West have helped make real democratic and social reform unnecessary for the Arabic-speaking world and delivered it into decades more of violence, dictatorship, repression, stagnation and failure.